Macro Business Cycle & Sector Performance

1986–2026 · Based on NBER Recessions, ISM PMI, GDP, Yield Curve & Leading Indicators
v2.0
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Contraction
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Real-Time Valuation
S&P 500 Top 50 · PER · P/FCF · EV/EBITDA · EV/(EBITDA-CapEx)
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Disclaimer: Business cycle classification is based on NBER recession dates, ISM Manufacturing PMI, real GDP growth, yield curve dynamics, and other leading economic indicators. Sector returns represent approximate S&P 500 GICS sector index 6-month forward returns from January of each year. Actual figures may differ. This tool is for educational and reference purposes only — not investment advice.